Jong Sparta vs Willem II U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
25.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Sparta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
GRA
2 - 5
SPA
58%
20%
22%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
SPA
3 - 2
ROD
56%
21%
23%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
SPA
2 - 0
VOL
58%
20%
23%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 3
SPA
13%
19%
68%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
WIL
1 - 2
SPA
59%
21%
20%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
ROD
0 - 2
WIL
39%
24%
37%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
WIL
2 - 1
BRA
78%
14%
7%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2014 |
WIL
1 - 4
GRA
40%
24%
37%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
VOL
1 - 1
WIL
39%
23%
38%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
WIL
1 - 2
SPA
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |