Jong Sparta vs Excelsior Maassluis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
12.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Sparta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
VVS
2 - 2
SPA
19%
20%
61%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
SPA
2 - 2
KON
65%
19%
16%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
LIE
1 - 7
SPA
16%
20%
65%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
SPA
3 - 0
ALM
71%
16%
13%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
KOZ
1 - 1
SPA
51%
22%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
SCH
0 - 1
EXC
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
EXC
3 - 1
ALM
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
KON
1 - 1
EXC
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
EXC
5 - 1
VVS
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
DET
1 - 1
EXC
56%
23%
22%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |