Jong Sparta vs Excelsior Maassluis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Sparta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
GVV
2 - 5
SPA
32%
24%
45%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
SPA
1 - 3
SPA
56%
21%
23%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
UNA
3 - 1
SPA
35%
23%
42%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
SPA
3 - 3
VVS
53%
23%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
KON
1 - 1
SPA
41%
23%
36%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 1
LIS
30%
25%
46%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
AFC
3 - 1
EXC
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
EXC
5 - 2
VIT
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
KON
1 - 2
EXC
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 1
TWE
86%
10%
4%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |