Jong Sparta vs Excelsior Maassluis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
67.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Sparta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
KOZ
2 - 0
SPA
87%
9%
3%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 3
BAR
10%
19%
71%
|
25 | 51 | 26 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HHC
0 - 0
SPA
84%
12%
5%
|
26 | 56 | 30 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
TIE
2 - 2
SPA
79%
15%
7%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 3
ALK
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 0
KAT
39%
24%
37%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ALK
3 - 2
EXC
15%
23%
62%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 1
GVV
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
UNA
2 - 1
EXC
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
EXC
2 - 0
VVS
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |