Sparta Sarpsborg vs Manglerud Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Sarpsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2006 |
FOL
0 - 3
SPA
28%
25%
47%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2006 |
SPA
1 - 0
HON
37%
25%
38%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
HOD
0 - 3
SPA
37%
25%
38%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2006 |
SPA
2 - 2
LOV
58%
23%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
SPA
1 - 0
HAU
60%
22%
19%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Manglerud Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2006 |
VKG
4 - 0
MAN
80%
14%
6%
|
50 | 79 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2006 |
MAN
3 - 2
MOS
28%
26%
46%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2006 |
SOG
2 - 2
MAN
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2006 |
MAN
1 - 1
ELP
13%
21%
66%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2006 |
TRO
6 - 2
MAN
50%
23%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |