Sparta Rotterdam vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
53.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
SPA
0 - 0
ADO
59%
22%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2009 |
BAR
0 - 5
SPA
12%
17%
71%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
RKC
4 - 1
SPA
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
SPA
2 - 4
GRO
34%
26%
41%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 2
SPA
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
GRO
0 - 0
TWE
27%
27%
46%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
UTR
0 - 0
TWE
28%
26%
47%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
TWE
3 - 0
HEL
78%
15%
7%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2009 |
STB
1 - 1
TWE
21%
23%
56%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
TWE
3 - 1
NAC
60%
22%
18%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | +1 |