Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 7-0
Sparta Praha vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
SPA
3 - 1
HRA
68%
22%
10%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
UST
1 - 3
SPA
17%
26%
58%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
SPA
2 - 0
BOH
62%
23%
15%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
SPA
3 - 2
SLI
58%
25%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2011 |
TEP
2 - 2
SPA
36%
28%
36%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
SAR
2 - 0
ORE
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
ORE
0 - 0
SAR
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
SAR
1 - 0
VEL
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
DRI
0 - 5
SAR
13%
26%
62%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2011 |
SAR
3 - 0
SIR
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |