Sparta Praha vs Mladá Boleslav analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
32.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
2º
9º
4º
1
2º
12º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
3 | 49 |
1º
|
22% | |
|
|
6º
|
1 | 47 |
2º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 47 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
1 | 47 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 46 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 45 |
6º
|
6.5% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 44 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
7º
|
1 | 44 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 43 |
9º
|
5.5% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 41 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
2º
|
3 | 40 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
3º
|
3 | 37 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 37 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 36 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 31 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 24 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
57% | 59.5% |
|
Next round
|
24.5% | 25% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
18.5% | 15.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
JAB
1 - 1
SPA
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2025 |
SPA
3 - 1
YOB
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2025 |
SPA
1 - 0
FCK
42%
24%
35%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
SPA
2 - 1
MBO
47%
23%
31%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
SPA
1 - 1
SIG
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mladá Boleslav
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
MBO
3 - 3
SLI
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
MBO
2 - 2
POL
49%
24%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2025 |
STR
1 - 1
MBO
37%
24%
40%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
MBO
2 - 4
DUK
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
MBO
3 - 2
VIZ
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |