Sparta Oborniki vs Polonia Nowy Tomyśl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
43.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Oborniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
PLP
5 - 0
SOP
39%
25%
36%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
SOP
0 - 1
WLO
50%
24%
27%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
USW
1 - 1
SOP
65%
20%
15%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
SOP
1 - 3
GKP
42%
24%
34%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
LTP
1 - 2
SOP
55%
23%
22%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Polonia Nowy Tomyśl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
PNT
2 - 0
CAL
31%
25%
44%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
PNT
3 - 0
MGZ
72%
17%
10%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
PNT
2 - 2
GIP
53%
23%
24%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
CZC
2 - 4
PNT
32%
25%
43%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
PLP
0 - 3
PNT
36%
24%
40%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |