Sparta Heestert vs Excelsior Zedelgem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
30.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
10º
16º
10º
26
7º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
85.5% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
85.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
26 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Heestert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
KSV
2 - 2
SHE
18%
19%
63%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SHE
2 - 0
MEU
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
OOS
2 - 4
SHE
41%
23%
36%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SHE
0 - 1
SAS
19%
20%
61%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
WEV
5 - 1
SHE
65%
18%
18%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior Zedelgem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SAS
3 - 1
KEZ
73%
16%
11%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
KEZ
1 - 3
RAC
31%
21%
48%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
KSV
2 - 1
KEZ
44%
22%
34%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
KEZ
1 - 3
KVC
61%
19%
20%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
RCL
1 - 4
KEZ
39%
23%
39%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |