Spalding United vs Pontefract Collieries analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
67%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spalding United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
SHE
2 - 1
SPA
80%
12%
7%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
SPA
1 - 2
WIS
48%
23%
29%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
BRI
3 - 1
SPA
77%
14%
8%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
SPA
1 - 2
CLE
28%
22%
50%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 2
SPA
56%
21%
23%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pontefract Collieries
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
PON
4 - 2
BEL
56%
20%
24%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
CLE
4 - 2
PON
46%
21%
33%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
STA
1 - 1
PON
55%
20%
25%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
PON
1 - 0
OUF
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
GRE
0 - 4
PON
28%
21%
51%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +2 |