Spalding United vs Gresley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
45.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spalding United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
SPA
2 - 1
SHE
29%
24%
47%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
SPA
1 - 4
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
FRI
2 - 1
SPA
81%
13%
7%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
SPA
2 - 2
CAR
41%
25%
34%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SPA
0 - 4
MOR
12%
17%
71%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
MOR
5 - 1
GRE
77%
13%
9%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 2
NEW
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
PIC
2 - 3
GRE
15%
17%
68%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 1
STA
29%
24%
47%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 0
FRI
14%
18%
68%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +2 |