Spalding United vs Gresley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spalding United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
BRI
1 - 2
SPA
54%
22%
23%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
SPA
1 - 2
SHE
25%
25%
51%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
GRE
5 - 0
SPA
52%
24%
24%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
NOR
2 - 0
SPA
79%
13%
7%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
SPA
0 - 0
NOR
37%
25%
38%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
GRE
1 - 2
LIN
64%
20%
16%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
SHE
1 - 4
GRE
71%
18%
12%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
GRE
5 - 0
SPA
52%
24%
24%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
GRE
1 - 3
GRA
36%
25%
39%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
LOU
2 - 0
GRE
49%
24%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |