Spalding United vs Gresley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
34.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spalding United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
NOR
1 - 3
SPA
77%
15%
8%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
SPA
2 - 2
MOS
31%
24%
45%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
OSS
2 - 1
SPA
55%
22%
24%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
SPA
1 - 0
CLI
45%
25%
31%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
MOS
3 - 1
SPA
64%
20%
16%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
GRE
2 - 1
COL
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2005 |
GRE
1 - 0
BEL
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
GRE
2 - 2
CHO
40%
24%
36%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
BRI
2 - 1
GRE
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
GRE
2 - 2
ROU
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |