SPAL U19 vs Brescia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
33.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
16º
11º
36
7º
15º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
68% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
68% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
SUD
1 - 3
SPA
44%
22%
34%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
SPA
1 - 2
VIC
32%
24%
44%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
VEN
0 - 0
SPA
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
SPA
1 - 4
ABL
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
FER
0 - 3
SPA
27%
22%
52%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Brescia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
BRE
0 - 1
ABL
58%
20%
22%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CIT
0 - 0
BRE
30%
22%
48%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BRE
1 - 1
VIC
32%
23%
45%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
PAD
2 - 5
BRE
39%
23%
39%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
BRE
4 - 1
SUD
42%
23%
36%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +2 |