SPAL U17 vs Cittadella U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
10º
13º
10º
28
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MIL
2 - 1
SPA
68%
17%
15%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SPA
0 - 1
BRE
52%
22%
26%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
UDI
3 - 1
SPA
8%
16%
76%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
VNZ
2 - 2
SPA
11%
18%
70%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SPA
1 - 1
ASS
77%
14%
10%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cittadella U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CIT
3 - 1
CRE
28%
23%
49%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CIT
2 - 1
MIL
7%
14%
79%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | +4 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
BRE
3 - 2
CIT
80%
13%
7%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
MIL
6 - 2
CIT
86%
10%
4%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
CIT
1 - 3
HEL
17%
20%
63%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |