SPAL vs Virtus Pavullese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
MAS
1 - 1
SPA
14%
24%
63%
|
56 | 25 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SPA
1 - 1
BAG
77%
16%
7%
|
56 | 27 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
SPA
4 - 0
FOR
75%
18%
8%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
ASL
1 - 0
SPA
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SPA
1 - 3
FOR
76%
17%
7%
|
57 | 28 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Pavullese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 0
VIR
50%
25%
25%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
VIR
4 - 1
ROS
41%
25%
33%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 2
FID
31%
25%
44%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 1
VIR
54%
23%
23%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 3
MEZ
19%
23%
58%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |