SPAL vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
32.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ASC
1 - 1
SPA
45%
27%
29%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SPA
3 - 0
VIC
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 0
SPA
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
CAG
5 - 1
SPA
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 3
CAR
28%
27%
45%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
ACD
0 - 0
PIS
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ACD
2 - 0
AVE
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
FRO
2 - 0
ACD
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
CHI
3 - 0
ACD
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
ACD
2 - 0
ANC
78%
15%
8%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |