SPAL vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
26.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2021 |
REG
1 - 2
SPA
24%
28%
49%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
SPA
0 - 1
FRO
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
BRE
3 - 1
SPA
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
SPA
1 - 2
ASC
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
LEC
1 - 2
SPA
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2021 |
USC
3 - 0
PES
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 1
USC
50%
26%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
USC
1 - 1
REG
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
ASS
2 - 1
USC
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
USC
2 - 2
EMP
26%
26%
48%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |