SPAL vs Tuttocuoio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 1
ANC
50%
27%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 2
SPA
27%
30%
44%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 2
PIS
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
REG
0 - 1
SPA
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SAV
0 - 3
SPA
26%
29%
45%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Tuttocuoio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
ACP
1 - 0
TUT
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
TUT
2 - 1
MAC
37%
29%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
TUT
1 - 0
SAN
42%
29%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ANC
1 - 1
TUT
63%
22%
15%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
TUT
3 - 0
SAV
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |