SPAL vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
VIC
1 - 1
SPA
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
SPA
1 - 3
REG
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
ASS
4 - 0
SPA
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
SPA
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
SPA
0 - 0
PIS
40%
25%
34%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 3
TER
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
TER
0 - 1
ASS
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
PIS
0 - 0
TER
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
TER
2 - 0
REG
58%
23%
18%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 1
TER
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |