SPAL vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
26.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
RAV
1 - 1
SPA
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
SPA
1 - 1
COS
68%
21%
11%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
PAL
4 - 2
SPA
85%
11%
4%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
SPA
3 - 1
ABN
24%
26%
50%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
SPA
2 - 1
COM
77%
17%
7%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
TER
2 - 1
TAR
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ASA
0 - 1
TER
15%
24%
61%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
CES
2 - 2
TER
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
TER
3 - 2
REN
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
ARZ
2 - 2
TER
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |