SPAL vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
25.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
RAV
1 - 3
SPA
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
SPA
0 - 0
USC
34%
28%
37%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
VER
2 - 1
SPA
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
SPA
1 - 1
ASS
39%
29%
32%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 2
SPA
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
SSS
0 - 0
CES
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
VER
1 - 0
SSS
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
SSS
0 - 2
PER
40%
29%
32%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
NOV
2 - 0
SSS
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
ACS
1 - 1
SSS
33%
28%
39%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |