SPAL vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
15.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1980 |
SPA
1 - 1
ATL
53%
29%
19%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
PIS
0 - 0
SPA
62%
25%
13%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
SPA
0 - 0
PAR
71%
21%
8%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
GEN
2 - 2
SPA
62%
25%
13%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
SPA
1 - 1
SAM
55%
27%
18%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1980 |
SSS
0 - 0
SAM
45%
31%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
PAR
0 - 0
SSS
51%
30%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
SSS
0 - 0
PIS
39%
33%
29%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
LEC
1 - 1
SSS
57%
26%
17%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
VER
1 - 0
SSS
57%
27%
16%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |