SPAL vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
11.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
SPA
1 - 1
CAT
68%
23%
10%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
ASC
2 - 2
SPA
55%
29%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
SPA
0 - 0
VAR
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
AVE
1 - 1
SPA
53%
27%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
SPA
0 - 1
ASS
65%
23%
12%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
SSS
0 - 0
PES
43%
31%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
MOD
2 - 2
SSS
52%
28%
20%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
SSS
1 - 1
ASC
31%
33%
37%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
CAT
0 - 0
SSS
50%
30%
21%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
SSS
0 - 0
VAR
30%
29%
40%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |