SPAL vs Sassari Torres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
REN
0 - 0
SPA
30%
25%
44%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
BV5
2 - 1
SPA
28%
26%
46%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SPA
3 - 3
ASS
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
VIR
4 - 1
SPA
28%
25%
47%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -3 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SPA
0 - 2
PIA
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Sassari Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SAS
2 - 3
FOR
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
USA
1 - 1
SAS
26%
26%
47%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SAS
1 - 3
CUN
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
SAS
5 - 1
CIV
74%
18%
8%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
HYR
4 - 4
SAS
18%
24%
58%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | 0 |