SPAL vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
48.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
TOR
2 - 1
SPA
80%
14%
6%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
SPA
2 - 0
BEN
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
VER
1 - 3
SPA
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SPA
0 - 3
ROM
11%
19%
70%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
SPA
0 - 0
CHI
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
SAM
0 - 2
NAP
18%
22%
60%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
SAS
1 - 0
SAM
37%
25%
38%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SAM
4 - 1
CAG
67%
20%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
LAZ
4 - 0
SAM
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 0
BOL
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |