SPAL vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
24.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1982 |
PIS
1 - 1
SPA
63%
24%
14%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1982 |
SPA
2 - 2
LEC
58%
27%
16%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
PES
2 - 0
SPA
53%
29%
19%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1982 |
SPA
1 - 1
BRE
54%
27%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1982 |
PRG
1 - 0
SPA
63%
25%
12%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1982 |
LAZ
0 - 0
SAM
56%
26%
18%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1982 |
SAM
1 - 0
PES
70%
20%
10%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1982 |
TOR
1 - 0
SAM
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
USC
1 - 2
SAM
43%
31%
26%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1982 |
SAM
1 - 0
CAT
63%
23%
14%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |