SPAL vs Salernitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
PRG
1 - 0
SPA
50%
28%
22%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 3
VER
22%
26%
52%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 2
ACD
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ASC
1 - 1
SPA
45%
27%
29%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SPA
3 - 0
VIC
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SAL
2 - 0
TRA
34%
27%
40%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
CES
0 - 0
SAL
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
SAL
2 - 3
VIC
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 0
SAL
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 1
VER
26%
27%
48%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |