SPAL vs Salernitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
18.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
PER
1 - 1
SPA
28%
28%
45%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SPA
3 - 1
PAG
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
ACL
1 - 0
SPA
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
SPA
1 - 0
PAV
67%
22%
12%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2010 |
USC
1 - 4
SPA
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
SAL
1 - 0
SPE
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SAL
3 - 1
PAV
69%
20%
12%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
PER
2 - 0
SAL
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2010 |
SAL
2 - 0
PAG
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
FCS
0 - 1
SAL
17%
25%
58%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | +1 |