SPAL vs Rimini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
28.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
REG
1 - 0
SPA
45%
28%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2004 |
SPA
1 - 0
ASL
45%
27%
27%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
ACL
2 - 1
SPA
59%
24%
18%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
SPA
0 - 0
PIS
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
NOV
1 - 0
SPA
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rimini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
RIM
0 - 0
NOV
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
RIM
2 - 0
SAS
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
PAD
2 - 2
RIM
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2004 |
RIM
0 - 2
ACL
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
VAR
0 - 2
RIM
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |