SPAL vs Pisa SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
NOV
1 - 0
SPA
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
SPE
0 - 1
SPA
52%
27%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
SPA
0 - 0
PAV
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
CES
1 - 1
SPA
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
SPA
1 - 1
PIS
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pisa SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
PIS
2 - 1
PIS
45%
27%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
SAS
3 - 1
PIS
34%
30%
36%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2003 |
PIS
0 - 3
CTT
50%
27%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
ARZ
1 - 1
PIS
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
PIS
2 - 0
SPE
43%
28%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |