SPAL vs Calcio Portogruaro-Summaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
30.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
PES
0 - 3
SPA
22%
26%
53%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
SPA
0 - 1
PES
40%
27%
34%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
GIU
1 - 1
SPA
18%
26%
56%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
SPA
1 - 2
RIM
32%
28%
40%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
SPA
3 - 4
BV5
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Calcio Portogruaro-Summaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
POR
1 - 2
TER
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
POR
0 - 0
CAV
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
POR
1 - 1
RIM
30%
26%
44%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ASA
1 - 0
POR
14%
24%
62%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
POR
2 - 2
PES
43%
27%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |