SPAL vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
40.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 2
TUT
70%
20%
11%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
TER
0 - 2
SPA
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 1
ARZ
68%
21%
12%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ANC
1 - 2
SPA
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SPA
3 - 1
SAN
63%
23%
14%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
AKR
1 - 1
BEN
25%
25%
50%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
BEN
3 - 0
LEC
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
BEN
13%
22%
65%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
CAT
40%
28%
33%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
NUO
1 - 1
BEN
24%
26%
50%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |