SPAL vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
CHI
2 - 1
SPA
64%
22%
15%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
SPA
1 - 1
FIO
18%
22%
60%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 1
SPA
82%
12%
5%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SPA
1 - 0
GEN
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
JUV
4 - 1
SPA
84%
12%
4%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
CTT
2 - 1
SAL
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2017 |
PAL
0 - 3
CTT
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CTT
1 - 2
PAR
57%
23%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
CTT
1 - 1
TER
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
SPE
0 - 0
CTT
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |