SPAL vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
23.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 2
SPA
27%
30%
44%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 2
PIS
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
REG
0 - 1
SPA
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SAV
0 - 3
SPA
26%
29%
45%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 0
CAR
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
ANC
1 - 1
PON
59%
23%
19%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
PIS
0 - 1
ANC
26%
27%
47%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ANC
1 - 1
TUT
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ANC
0 - 2
SAN
67%
21%
13%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ARZ
0 - 0
ANC
24%
27%
50%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |