SPAL vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
14.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 5
SPA
22%
27%
52%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
LAQ
0 - 0
SPA
22%
29%
49%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 0
PON
59%
25%
17%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
PIS
0 - 1
SPA
23%
28%
50%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 0
RIM
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ACP
0 - 0
ASL
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
LRO
1 - 2
ACP
26%
27%
48%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ACP
0 - 1
SIE
16%
24%
61%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ANC
3 - 2
ACP
59%
24%
17%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ACP
0 - 1
PIS
29%
27%
44%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |