SPAL vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
19.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1969 |
LEC
0 - 0
SPA
43%
30%
27%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1969 |
SPA
2 - 1
PRG
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
CES
1 - 0
SPA
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1969 |
MOD
1 - 0
SPA
46%
29%
25%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1969 |
SPA
0 - 0
BRE
42%
29%
29%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1969 |
MAN
0 - 1
PRG
53%
28%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1969 |
MAN
2 - 0
CES
47%
28%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
PAD
1 - 1
MAN
38%
32%
30%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1969 |
BAR
0 - 0
MAN
58%
26%
17%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1969 |
MAN
2 - 0
GEN
44%
31%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |