SPAL vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
SPA
3 - 1
MOD
67%
22%
12%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
BRE
3 - 0
SPA
58%
25%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1968 |
SPA
0 - 1
COM
63%
23%
14%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
REG
1 - 1
SPA
45%
30%
25%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
GEN
0 - 1
SPA
47%
29%
24%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
CES
3 - 0
MAN
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
CES
2 - 1
LEC
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
LIV
1 - 0
CES
51%
26%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1968 |
CES
1 - 1
TER
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
USF
1 - 1
CES
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |