Spaeri vs Aragvi Dusheti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
4º
9º
4º
49
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spaeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GAR
5 - 1
SPA
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 5
LOK
54%
23%
22%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 0
KOL
65%
21%
15%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
MET
3 - 1
SPA
38%
25%
37%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
LTB
0 - 1
SPA
11%
15%
75%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Aragvi Dusheti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ADU
1 - 2
SIO
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GAR
2 - 0
ADU
73%
17%
10%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
ADU
1 - 1
SFC
59%
21%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
LOK
2 - 1
ADU
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
ADU
0 - 2
SAM
40%
23%
37%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |