Spad Alvand vs Shahid Ghandi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
11%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
60.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
17.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
9%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spad Alvand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
NIK
1 - 0
SPA
37%
24%
40%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
SPA
4 - 0
DBF
25%
27%
48%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +5 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
SHA
6 - 2
SPA
61%
24%
15%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
SPA
1 - 0
ESZ
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2025 |
FER
1 - 0
SPA
25%
23%
52%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Shahid Ghandi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SGY
4 - 0
DBF
56%
24%
19%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
ESZ
0 - 0
SGY
26%
28%
47%
|
60 | 34 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
SGY
3 - 0
SRA
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
PAS
0 - 0
SGY
23%
28%
49%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2025 |
SGY
1 - 1
OMT
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 22 | 37 | 0 |