Royal Spa vs Zwarte Leeuw analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
43.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Royal Spa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
SPA
2 - 1
OVE
26%
24%
51%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
SPA
1 - 1
MAL
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
SPA
1 - 1
PAT
18%
23%
60%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
SPA
1 - 4
LIL
27%
24%
50%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
SIN
1 - 0
SPA
80%
14%
6%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Zwarte Leeuw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
GEE
3 - 1
ZWA
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
ZWA
1 - 0
MAL
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
SPO
2 - 1
ZWA
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
ZWA
2 - 2
PAT
45%
25%
31%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
ZWA
1 - 1
WIT
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |