Vilamarin vs Soutopenedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
23.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-74%
+207%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilamarin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
MER
2 - 3
VIL
17%
20%
63%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 2
OUR
47%
21%
32%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
BUB
1 - 7
VIL
16%
19%
66%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 4
VIL
29%
20%
51%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 4
ALL
65%
18%
18%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Soutopenedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SOU
4 - 1
ALL
35%
24%
41%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
BMI
0 - 0
SOU
60%
19%
21%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
SOU
2 - 2
ROC
53%
22%
25%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 2
SOU
43%
24%
34%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SOU
3 - 1
PSI
66%
19%
15%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |