Vilamarin vs Leiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
66.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilamarin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
COL
2 - 0
VIL
51%
22%
26%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
COR
2 - 0
VIL
63%
19%
18%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
VIL
5 - 0
CEN
73%
15%
12%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ARR
1 - 4
VIL
35%
22%
43%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 3
RUA
58%
19%
23%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Leiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
LEI
4 - 0
CEN
89%
8%
3%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ARR
1 - 7
LEI
11%
17%
73%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
LEI
3 - 1
RUA
74%
15%
12%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
PON
2 - 2
LEI
21%
21%
58%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
LEI
4 - 0
AVI
34%
22%
44%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |