Vilamarin vs Coles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
24.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-80%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilamarin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 3
COR
32%
21%
47%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
CEN
0 - 1
VIL
60%
20%
20%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
VIL
5 - 1
ARR
39%
21%
40%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
RUA
1 - 1
VIL
76%
14%
10%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
COL
1 - 1
VIL
45%
22%
34%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Coles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
COL
2 - 1
CEN
32%
24%
45%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ARR
1 - 0
COL
46%
22%
32%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
COL
4 - 1
RUA
22%
21%
57%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
PON
4 - 2
COL
80%
13%
8%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
COL
1 - 1
VIL
45%
22%
34%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |