Vilamarin vs Arrabaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
55.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-80%
-104%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilamarin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 1
VIL
42%
22%
36%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
IRI
5 - 1
VIL
19%
19%
62%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
4 - 0
PON
78%
13%
9%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 2
VIL
38%
23%
39%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 1
FRA
18%
19%
63%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Arrabaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ARR
7 - 0
PON
88%
8%
4%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SAL
2 - 1
ARR
10%
16%
75%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ARR
4 - 2
FRA
50%
21%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
COL
1 - 1
ARR
37%
23%
40%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ARR
9 - 1
CHA
82%
11%
7%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | +1 |