Vilamarin vs Arrabaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
19.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-76%
-104%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilamarin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
PAL
1 - 1
VIL
31%
23%
47%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 4
SEI
46%
23%
31%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
SAL
0 - 3
VIL
31%
24%
45%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
COL
56%
21%
22%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CEA
1 - 3
VIL
61%
20%
19%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Arrabaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
IRI
0 - 2
ARR
33%
21%
45%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
ARR
1 - 1
PAL
46%
21%
34%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SEI
3 - 0
ARR
66%
18%
16%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
ARR
2 - 1
SAL
34%
23%
43%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
COL
4 - 1
ARR
54%
22%
24%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |