Vilamarin vs AD Covadonga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.4%
26.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-78%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilamarin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 1
TRI
79%
13%
8%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SAL
1 - 1
VIL
31%
22%
48%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 0
BMI
71%
16%
14%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
VIL
4 - 3
FRA
16%
18%
66%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ARE
6 - 4
VIL
84%
10%
6%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
AD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
COV
2 - 3
AMO
67%
16%
17%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CEA
2 - 0
COV
20%
18%
62%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ATT
3 - 0
COV
29%
20%
52%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
COV
7 - 3
SAL
88%
8%
4%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CEA
1 - 5
COV
14%
16%
71%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |