Vilamarin vs AD Covadonga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
21.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-80%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilamarin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CEN
3 - 1
VIL
20%
22%
58%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 1
RIB
40%
23%
38%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BMI
0 - 1
VIL
13%
19%
67%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
CEN
1 - 4
VIL
15%
21%
65%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
VIL
5 - 1
BMI
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
AD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
COV
8 - 1
PON
58%
19%
23%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SAL
3 - 2
COV
40%
23%
37%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
COV
4 - 1
FRA
53%
20%
27%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
COV
2 - 4
COR
19%
19%
62%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
LOÑ
2 - 0
COV
61%
20%
19%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |