Vilamarin B vs A Merca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
54.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilamarin B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
MAC
2 - 1
VIL
29%
20%
51%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
MOR
6 - 2
VIL
56%
19%
25%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
5 - 2
ESP
31%
20%
49%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CEA
2 - 3
VIL
58%
19%
23%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
4 - 2
MUG
54%
20%
27%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
A Merca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MER
7 - 0
MUG
73%
15%
12%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
ABO
0 - 1
MER
30%
22%
49%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
MER
3 - 0
PSI
62%
19%
20%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
PAD
0 - 2
MER
37%
23%
41%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
MER
2 - 0
VIL
52%
21%
27%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |